Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.565021 5.431294 6.394159 7.540438 8.864413 10.342014 12.112191
2025-08-03 3.290756 4.397053 5.752557 7.521962 9.755438 12.464468 15.980425
2025-08-10 2.410287 3.558813 5.087344 7.241096 10.162880 13.949205 19.180086
2025-08-17 1.833705 2.958260 4.567292 6.988430 10.478891 15.257396 22.204750
2025-08-24 1.489286 2.598778 4.290222 6.983634 11.072193 16.932445 25.819491
2025-08-31 1.236855 2.320370 4.070715 7.003629 11.664375 18.619159 29.559151
2025-09-07 1.022925 2.057202 3.822585 6.925539 12.070198 20.035523 32.988324
2025-09-14 0.815034 1.759096 3.462269 6.601424 12.027364 20.734555 35.353872
2025-09-21 0.690970 1.589895 3.294276 6.570671 12.444312 22.167662 38.949020
2025-09-28 0.588863 1.441994 3.138924 6.534501 12.835056 23.572979 42.585563
2025-10-05 0.551874 1.422571 3.223591 6.946350 14.047423 26.433146 48.811667
2025-10-12 0.498695 1.356321 3.203819 7.152214 14.898772 28.730956 54.237620
2025-10-19 0.460774 1.320104 3.245037 7.491930 16.049117 31.669308 61.027319
2025-10-26 0.399844 1.215117 3.123353 7.485272 16.536756 33.463739 65.946542
2025-11-02 0.330060 1.070581 2.889225 7.209106 16.461292 34.215691 69.046022
2025-11-09 0.273588 0.947016 2.681324 6.958468 16.404013 34.984629 72.212456
2025-11-16 0.239055 0.876797 2.589456 6.954009 16.851721 36.741785 77.318822
2025-11-23 0.210445 0.816879 2.513028 6.974028 17.349959 38.627588 82.781398
2025-11-30 0.181680 0.748504 2.402413 6.896260 17.623324 40.079324 87.490218
2025-12-07 0.148293 0.654403 2.204274 6.573367 17.310644 40.310642 89.809248
2025-12-14 0.129522 0.605954 2.125517 6.542732 17.662891 41.937604 95.005136
2025-12-21 0.113100 0.561080 2.048879 6.506699 17.996869 43.545292 100.253028
2025-12-28 0.110199 0.568748 2.133451 6.917007 19.440462 47.625736 110.813163